Can Swansea City win a place amongst the country’s elite?
Chris Penn analyses whether Brendan Rodgers has found the formula for promotion
IT WAS in 2004 that Chelsea manager and self-proclaimed ‘Special one’, Jose Mourinho, appointed Brendan Rodgers as youth team coach for the West London side. Fast forward six years and the Northern Irishman is now in charge of Swansea City brandishing his own brand of attractive football that has resulted in much praise, most notably from Cardiff City’s Seyi Olofinjana, dubbing the Swans ‘the Chelsea of the Championship’.
It is quite remarkable how things have changed since Paulo Sousa’s reign last season from the mentality of the players to the reaction of the fans, but when the ex-QPR boss left for greener grass in Leicester (and lasted 3 months there) no-one expected the appointment of Brendan Rodgers. However the doubts soon faded when Swansea made a promising start to the season with five wins from their opening nine fixtures which included away fixtures against Leeds, Nottingham Forest and Norwich City who are all now promotion contenders.
Brendan has definitely created a buzz around the city as the Jacks chase an automatic promotion place to the money spinning Premier League. However there is stiff competition from Norwich, Nottingham Forest, Leeds, Cardiff and current leaders QPR as the Championship hits the business end of the season. Doubts are being raised however, over whether Swansea have the legs to keep up with the pace setters and whether their attractive way of playing is promotion material.
Swansea play a rather orthodox 4-5-1 formation that was introduced during the Roberto Martinez era and was has been developed by both Sousa and Rodgers, with the latter getting the system ticking perfectly. This is most likely due to the purchasing of winger Scott Sinclair from Chelsea that has added extra width to the Swans’ play together with Nathan Dyer on the right.
The return of Leon Britton in January has brought stability and a new dimension to an already strong Swansea midfield. However the main problem seems to be the lone striker issue. New signing Luke Moore has struggled since signing early last month and record transfer buy Craig Beattie has only netted four times this season, his latest being a crucial last minute winner against Middlesbrough last weekend. There have been reports of Swansea making an approach for former striker Jason Scotland, but would that really be the solution?
The 4-5-1 system normally requires a strong target man of a forward which Swansea have in Beattie and Moore who hold up play bringing the wingers and midfield into the attack. This can be flawed by heavy defensive teams especially those that visit the Liberty Stadium - an example being Millwall in December who cut off supply to Beattie by isolating the gap between Swansea’s midfield and the striker, then hitting the home side on the break and earning a deserved draw.
The question is, if Swansea City were to make into the elite of English football, how would they fair? I guess a sign was in the South Wales derby against Cardiff where Swansea’s midfield was outmuscled by the likes of Jay Bothroyd, Seyi Olofinjana and Jay Emmanuel-Thomas which is a standard that would be expected week in week out in the Premier League with very physical sides like Blackburn, Bolton and Newcastle. Investment would definitely be required if Huw Jenkins is willing to splash the cash, with the main areas being centre back, a clinical striker and reinforcement in the midfield as mentioned before.
The consequences of Swansea not making the Premier League could be the loss of a few key players to higher opposition, for example goalkeeper Dorus De Vries whose contract expires in June this year and Darren Pratley was heavily persued in January by a few Premier League clubs including Newcastle and Bolton.
I guess this is Swansea’s best chance at gaining promotion as the Championship has proved to have been a highly difficult league to get out of as Nottingham Forest and Cardiff have found out over the years with the play-offs being a risky lottery which has seen underdog teams like Blackpool and Burnley earning the final spot in the top flight, however yet holding their own amongst the country’s elite.
If asked whether I think Swansea will get promoted, I’m split. I would love to see Swansea in the top flight and have proved to be worthy with their style of football, however I feel that the other competitors in the race are better equipped for life in the Premier League but how I would like to be proved wrong, and Brendan has definitely shown that he is the man to lead this club into the top flight.
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